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Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Author

Dave MacLeod

Hannah Cloke

Florian Pappenberger

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17074-perturbing-hydrology-parameters-seasonal-forecasts.pdf

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Author

Husain Najafi

Ali Bavani

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Author

Robert Plant

S.R.A. Dey

N.M. Roberts

S. Migliorini

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Author

Nigel Roberts

Seonaid Dey

Giovanni Leoncini

Robert Plant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17078-spatial-behaviour-and-evaluation-convection-permitting-ensemble.pdf

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Author

Tobias Selz

George Craig

Lotte Bierdel

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf

An adaptive additive inflation scheme for ensemble Kalman filters

Author

Matthias Sommer

Tijana Janjic

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16300-addaptive-additive-inflation-scheme-ensemble-kalman-filters.pdf

Impacts of a spatially varying random parameterscheme on cloud cover in MOGREPS

Author

Warren Tennant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16301-impacts-spatially-varying-random-parameterscheme-cloud-cover-mogreps.pdf

Development of Taiwan Central Weather Bureau Global Ensemble Prediction System for Typhoon-track

Author

John Tseng

Jen-Her Chen

Deng-Shun Chen

Daryl Kleist

Wen-Mei Chen

Young-Sin Lai

Shu-Chih Yang

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16302-development-taiwan-central-weather-bureau-global-ensemble-prediction-system-typhoon-track.pdf

Impacts of stochastic physics on tropical variability in models

Author

Peter Watson

Antje Weisheimer

Tim Palmer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16303-impacts-stochastic-physics-tropical-variability-models.pdf

Stochastic multi-scale modeling for weather and climate prediction

Author

Aneesh Subramanian

Tim Palmer

Marat Khairoutdinov

Frédéric Vitart

Peter Bechtold

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16320-workshop-model-uncertainty-poster-aneesh-subramanian.pdf

Newsletter No. 145 - Autumn 2015

Author

Georg Lentze

ECMWF

2015, Newsletter, ECMWF Newsletter

File

14589-newsletter-no145-autumn-2015.pdf

Newsletter No. 144 - Summer 2015

Author

Georg Lentze

ECMWF

2015, Newsletter, ECMWF Newsletter

File

14588-newsletter-no144-summer-2015.pdf

Newsletter No. 143 - Spring 2015

Author

Georg Lentze

ECMWF

2015, Newsletter, ECMWF Newsletter

File

14587-newsletter-no143-spring-2015.pdf

Newsletter No. 142 - Winter 2014/15

Author

Bob Riddaway

ECMWF

2015, Newsletter, ECMWF Newsletter

File

14585-newsletter-no142-winter-201415.pdf

Predictability of the precipitation forecasts based on ECMWF ensemble model for the catchment of the Danube and Tisza rivers (Poster)

Author

Amarilla Matrai

I. Ihasz

2015, Poster

File

13429-predictability-precipitation-forecasts-based-ecmwf-ensemble-model-catchment-danube-and-tisza.pdf

Using ECMWF ensemble forecasts for hydrological forecast purpose at Hungarian Meteorological Service (Poster)

Author

Imre Bonta

Katalin Homokine

I. Ihasz

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13430-using-ecmwf-ensemble-forecasts-hydrological-forecast-purpose-hungarian-meteorological-service.pdf

Concept of operation RNLAF: Scenario forecasting (Poster)

Author

Royal Airforce

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13431-concept-operation-rnlaf-scenario-forecasting-poster.pdf

A man-machine mix supplies the MeteoSwiss WEB & APP with forecast data (Poster)

Author

D. Cattani

Michel Matter

Lionel Moret

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13432-man-machine-mix-supplies-meteoswiss-web-app-forecast-data-poster.pdf

Promising project to use additional probabilistic information for medium and longer time ranges at ZAMG (Poster)

Author

Christian Csekits

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13433-promising-project-use-additional-probabilistic-information-medium-and-longer-time-ranges-zamg.pdf

Maximizing use of probabilistic forecasts for sector-specific applications (Poster)

Author

RIMES

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13434-maximizing-use-probabilistic-forecasts-sector-specific-applications-poster.pdf

26-30 August 2013. Two cases of heavy rain and intense thunderstorms in the Western Mediterranean (Posters)

Author

A. Genoves

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13435-26-30-august-2013-two-cases-heavy-rain-and-intense-thunderstorms-western-mediterranean-posters.pdf

Experience with seasonal forecasting at the Bulgarian weather service (Poster)

Author

Ilian Gospodinov

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13436-experience-seasonal-forecasting-bulgarian-weather-service-poster.pdf

Visualization of probabilistic weather forecasts for public and professional use (Poster)

Author

Karin Jonsson

Asa Granstrom

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13437-visualization-probabilistic-weather-forecasts-public-and-professional-use-poster.pdf

Some aspects of recent weather forecasting procedures at the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Poster)

Author

Ilkka Juga

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13438-some-aspects-recent-weather-forecasting-procedures-finnish-meteorological-institute-poster.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

An adaptive additive inflation scheme for ensemble Kalman filters

Impacts of a spatially varying random parameterscheme on cloud cover in MOGREPS

Development of Taiwan Central Weather Bureau Global Ensemble Prediction System for Typhoon-track

Impacts of stochastic physics on tropical variability in models

Stochastic multi-scale modeling for weather and climate prediction

Newsletter No. 145 - Autumn 2015

Newsletter No. 144 - Summer 2015

Newsletter No. 143 - Spring 2015

Newsletter No. 142 - Winter 2014/15

Predictability of the precipitation forecasts based on ECMWF ensemble model for the catchment of the Danube and Tisza rivers (Poster)

Using ECMWF ensemble forecasts for hydrological forecast purpose at Hungarian Meteorological Service (Poster)

Concept of operation RNLAF: Scenario forecasting (Poster)

A man-machine mix supplies the MeteoSwiss WEB & APP with forecast data (Poster)

Promising project to use additional probabilistic information for medium and longer time ranges at ZAMG (Poster)

Maximizing use of probabilistic forecasts for sector-specific applications (Poster)

26-30 August 2013. Two cases of heavy rain and intense thunderstorms in the Western Mediterranean (Posters)

Experience with seasonal forecasting at the Bulgarian weather service (Poster)

Visualization of probabilistic weather forecasts for public and professional use (Poster)

Some aspects of recent weather forecasting procedures at the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Poster)

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