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Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Author

Husain Najafi

Ali Bavani

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Author

Robert Plant

S.R.A. Dey

N.M. Roberts

S. Migliorini

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Author

Nigel Roberts

Seonaid Dey

Giovanni Leoncini

Robert Plant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17078-spatial-behaviour-and-evaluation-convection-permitting-ensemble.pdf

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Author

Tobias Selz

George Craig

Lotte Bierdel

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf

Stochastic multi-scale modeling for weather and climate prediction

Author

Aneesh Subramanian

Tim Palmer

Marat Khairoutdinov

Frédéric Vitart

Peter Bechtold

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16320-workshop-model-uncertainty-poster-aneesh-subramanian.pdf

Predictability of the precipitation forecasts based on ECMWF ensemble model for the catchment of the Danube and Tisza rivers (Poster)

Author

Amarilla Matrai

I. Ihasz

2015, Poster

File

13429-predictability-precipitation-forecasts-based-ecmwf-ensemble-model-catchment-danube-and-tisza.pdf

Using ECMWF ensemble forecasts for hydrological forecast purpose at Hungarian Meteorological Service (Poster)

Author

Imre Bonta

Katalin Homokine

I. Ihasz

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13430-using-ecmwf-ensemble-forecasts-hydrological-forecast-purpose-hungarian-meteorological-service.pdf

Concept of operation RNLAF: Scenario forecasting (Poster)

Author

Royal Airforce

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13431-concept-operation-rnlaf-scenario-forecasting-poster.pdf

A man-machine mix supplies the MeteoSwiss WEB & APP with forecast data (Poster)

Author

D. Cattani

Michel Matter

Lionel Moret

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13432-man-machine-mix-supplies-meteoswiss-web-app-forecast-data-poster.pdf

Promising project to use additional probabilistic information for medium and longer time ranges at ZAMG (Poster)

Author

Christian Csekits

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13433-promising-project-use-additional-probabilistic-information-medium-and-longer-time-ranges-zamg.pdf

Maximizing use of probabilistic forecasts for sector-specific applications (Poster)

Author

RIMES

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13434-maximizing-use-probabilistic-forecasts-sector-specific-applications-poster.pdf

26-30 August 2013. Two cases of heavy rain and intense thunderstorms in the Western Mediterranean (Posters)

Author

A. Genoves

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13435-26-30-august-2013-two-cases-heavy-rain-and-intense-thunderstorms-western-mediterranean-posters.pdf

Experience with seasonal forecasting at the Bulgarian weather service (Poster)

Author

Ilian Gospodinov

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13436-experience-seasonal-forecasting-bulgarian-weather-service-poster.pdf

Visualization of probabilistic weather forecasts for public and professional use (Poster)

Author

Karin Jonsson

Asa Granstrom

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13437-visualization-probabilistic-weather-forecasts-public-and-professional-use-poster.pdf

Some aspects of recent weather forecasting procedures at the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Poster)

Author

Ilkka Juga

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13438-some-aspects-recent-weather-forecasting-procedures-finnish-meteorological-institute-poster.pdf

Communication ZAMG's highest warning level (Poster)

Author

Susanne Lentner

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13439-communication-zamgs-highest-warning-level-poster.pdf

Recent extreme bora wind cases in Croatia - ECMWF forecast evaluation (Poster)

Author

Natasa Mahovic

B. Matjacic

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13440-recent-extreme-bora-wind-cases-croatia-ecmwf-forecast-evaluation-poster.pdf

Quantifying and communicating uncertainty illustrated by the example of forecast of heavy precipitation that caused catastrophic floods in Serbia and the region in May 2014 (Poster)

Author

Aleksandar Nisavic

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13441-quantifying-and-communicating-uncertainty-illustrated-example-forecast-heavy-precipitation.pdf

Stability of atmospheric flow & low-leve jets influencing forest fire evolution behaviour (Poster)

Author

T. Petroliagis

Giorgio Liberta

Dario Rodriguez-Aseretto

Margherita Di Leo

Francesca Di Giuseppe

Florian Pappenberger

Jesus San-Miguel-Ayanz

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13442-stability-atmospheric-flow-low-leve-jets-influencing-forest-fire-evolution-behaviour-poster.pdf

A comparative study of statistical post-processing methods for the calibration of ensemble forecasts (Poster)

Author

Nina Schuhen

Piers Buchanan

Simon Jackson

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13443-comparative-study-statistical-post-processing-methods-calibration-ensemble-forecasts-poster.pdf

The prediction of low clouds for the time of the solar eclipse 20 March 2015 (Poster)

Author

T. Schumann

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13444-prediction-low-clouds-time-solar-eclipse-20-march-2015-poster.pdf

Stochastic forecasts and extreme weather events. The case study of intense and devastating rains over NW Greece during the period 30 Jan-1 Feb 2015 (Poster)

Author

Anastasia Papakrivou

Panagiotis Skrimizeas

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13445-stochastic-forecasts-and-extreme-weather-events-case-study-intense-and-devastating-rains-over.pdf

Communicating uncertainties in extreme weather events - with focus on the event Nina in January 2015 (Poster)

Author

Anne Andersen

Unni Thomsen

Anne Olsen

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13446-communicating-uncertainties-extreme-weather-events-focus-event-nina-january-2015-poster.pdf

Homogenization of Austrian and Alpine time series (Poster)

Author

Ingeborg Auer

Barbara Chimani

Manfred Ganekind

Konrad Andre

Annemarie Lexer

Johann Hiebl

2015, Poster

File

13475-homogenization-austrian-and-alpine-time-series-poster.pdf

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Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Stochastic multi-scale modeling for weather and climate prediction

Predictability of the precipitation forecasts based on ECMWF ensemble model for the catchment of the Danube and Tisza rivers (Poster)

Using ECMWF ensemble forecasts for hydrological forecast purpose at Hungarian Meteorological Service (Poster)

Concept of operation RNLAF: Scenario forecasting (Poster)

A man-machine mix supplies the MeteoSwiss WEB & APP with forecast data (Poster)

Promising project to use additional probabilistic information for medium and longer time ranges at ZAMG (Poster)

Maximizing use of probabilistic forecasts for sector-specific applications (Poster)

26-30 August 2013. Two cases of heavy rain and intense thunderstorms in the Western Mediterranean (Posters)

Experience with seasonal forecasting at the Bulgarian weather service (Poster)

Visualization of probabilistic weather forecasts for public and professional use (Poster)

Some aspects of recent weather forecasting procedures at the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Poster)

Communication ZAMG's highest warning level (Poster)

Recent extreme bora wind cases in Croatia - ECMWF forecast evaluation (Poster)

Quantifying and communicating uncertainty illustrated by the example of forecast of heavy precipitation that caused catastrophic floods in Serbia and the region in May 2014 (Poster)

Stability of atmospheric flow & low-leve jets influencing forest fire evolution behaviour (Poster)

A comparative study of statistical post-processing methods for the calibration of ensemble forecasts (Poster)

The prediction of low clouds for the time of the solar eclipse 20 March 2015 (Poster)

Stochastic forecasts and extreme weather events. The case study of intense and devastating rains over NW Greece during the period 30 Jan-1 Feb 2015 (Poster)

Communicating uncertainties in extreme weather events - with focus on the event Nina in January 2015 (Poster)

Homogenization of Austrian and Alpine time series (Poster)

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