Weather prediction in a world of uncertainties: should we care about model uncertainty?

Title
Weather prediction in a world of uncertainties: should we care about model uncertainty?
Presentation
Date Published
2016
Author
Roberto Buizza
Keywords
workshop
model uncertainty
Abstract

Outline

  1. The context: ‘think ensemble’
  2. Should ensembles simulate model uncertainties?
  3. Aiming for consistency in the ECMWF ensembles
  4. Recommendations from past WSs (2005/2007/2011)
  5. Conclusions
     
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