Antje Weisheimer

Senior Scientist

Research, Earth System Predictability, Long Range

Summary:

Antje is a senior research scientist interested in model-based weather and climate forecasts and the uncertainties associated with them.

Professional interests:

Predictability in the Earth System on a range of time scales from days to weeks, months, seasons and longer
Model uncertainties in weather and climate forecasts
Seamless prediction of weather and climate
Multi-decadal changes in forecast skill

Career background:

Diploma in Meteorology, Humboldt University Berlin, 1991-1996
PhD in Atmospheric Physics, University of Potsdam, Germany, 1996-2000
PostDoc at Alfred-Wegener-Institute for Polar and Marine Research (AW), Potsdam, Germany, 2000-2002
Marie-Curie Fellowship at the London School of Economics and Political Sciences (LSE), 2002-2003
Assistant Professor at Meteorological Institute, Free University Berlin, 2003-2005
Scientist at Predictability Section at ECMWF, since 2005 (since 2011 60% part-time)
Senior Research Fellow at National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), University of Oxford, Physics Department, since 2011 (40% part-time)

External recognitions

Buchan Prize of the Royal Meteorological Society "for papers containing the most important original contributions to meteorology", 2021
Fellow of the Royal Meteorological Society and member of the German Meteorological Society
Associate Editor for Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (since 2014)
Senior NCAS Research Fellow at the Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics (AOPP) institute, Oxford University
PI and co-PI on a number of national and international grants including EUCP, SPECS, EUCLEIA, IMPETUS, SummerTIME, DOVE (through Oxford)
Editorial Board Member of Nature Scientific Reports (2016-2019)
Contributing Author and Expert Reviewer of the AR5 IPCC report
Research Fellow at Wolfson College, Oxford (2011-2019)
Finalist for L'Oreal Women in Science Award (2011)

2024
- Robert Doane‐Solomon, Daniel J. Befort, Joanne Camp, Kevin Hodges, Antje Weisheimer (January 2024) The link between North Atlantic tropical cyclones and ENSO in seasonal forecasts, Atmospheric Science Letters. DOI: 10.1002/asl.1190
- Nicholas Leach, Shirin Ermis, Olivia Vashti Ayim, Sarah Sparrow, Fraser Lott, Linjing Zhou, Pandora Hope, Dann Mitchell, Antje Weisheimer, Myles Allen (March 2024) Towards an operational forecast-based attribution system - beyond isolated events. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20081
- Antje Weisheimer, Laura H. Baker, Jochen Bröcker, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Steven C. Hardiman, Dan L. R. Hodson, Tim N. Palmer, Jon I. Robson, Adam A. Scaife, James A. Screen, Theodore G. Shepherd, Doug M. Smith, Rowan T. Sutton (March 2024) The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts: Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1
2023
- S. Sharmila, H. Hendon, O. Alves, A. Weisheimer, M. Balmaseda (March 2023) Contrasting El Niño–La Niña Predictability and Prediction Skill in 2-Year Reforecasts of the Twentieth Century, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0028.1
- Tim Hempel, Antje Weisheimer, Tim Palmer (May 2023) The seasonal teleconnections of the Indian Ocean Dipole to the North Atlantic region. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5665
- Jochen Bröcker, Andrew J. Charlton–Perez, Antje Weisheimer (April 2023) A statistical perspective on the signal‐to‐noise paradox, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4440
- Steffen Tietsche, Frederic Vitart, Michael Mayer, Antje Weisheimer, Magdalena Balmaseda (May 2023) Underestimation of Arctic warming trends in sub-seasonal forecasts. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14141
- Giorgia Di Capua, Dim Coumou, Bart van den Hurk, Antje Weisheimer, Andrew G. Turner, Reik V. Donner (August 2023) Validation of boreal summer tropical–extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts, Weather and Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-4-701-2023
2022
- Matthew Patterson, Christopher O'Reilly, Tim Woollings, Antje Weisheimer, Bo Wu (January 2022) SST‐driven variability of the East Asian summer jet on a decadal time‐scale in CMIP6 models, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 743, pp. 581-598. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4219
- Giorgia Di Capua, Dim Coumou, Bart van der Hurk, Antje Weissheimer, Andrew G. Turner, Reik V. Donner (August 2022) Validation of boreal summer tropical-extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2022-48
- Matthew Patterson, Antje Weisheimer, Daniel Befort, Christopher O'Reilly (March 2022) The strong role of external forcing in seasonal forecasts of European summer temperatures. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1793
- Nicholas J. Leach, Chris Roberts, Tim Palmer, Myles R. Allen, Antje Weisheimer (March 2022) Towards forecast-based attribution of isolated extreme events: perturbed initial condition simulations of the Pacific Northwest heatwave. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5949
- Tim Hempel, Antje Weisheimer, Tim Palmer (March 2022) The seasonal teleconnections of the Indian Ocean Dipole to the North Atlantic region. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7631
- Christopher O'Reilly, Ben Booth, Lukas Brunner, Said Qasmi, Rita Nogherotto, Andrew Ballinger, Dan Befort, Antje Weisheimer (March 2022) Testing methods to constrain future European climate projections in an “out-of-sample” framework. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8104
- Daniel J. Befort, Lukas Brunner, Leonard F. Borchert, Christopher H. O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer (March 2022) Temporal merging of decadal predictions and climate projections to obtain seamless information: challenges and potential solutions. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9477
- Antje Weisheimer, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Tim N. Stockdale, Michael Mayer, S. Sharmila, Harry Hendon, Oscar Alves (May 2022) Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill in 2‐Year Global Reforecasts Over the 20th Century, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2022GL097885
- Fai Fung, Christopher Goddard, Carol McSweeney, Tom Crocker, Dominic Matte, Andrew Ballinger, Gabi Hegerl, Christopher O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer, Karin Van der Wiel, Renate Wilcke (June 2022) Building storylines for applications: what have we learned in the EUCP project?. DOI: 10.5194/ems2022-444
- D. J. Befort, L. Brunner, L. F. Borchert, C. H. O’Reilly, J. Mignot, A. P. Ballinger, G. C. Hegerl, J. M. Murphy, A. Weisheimer (August 2022) Combination of Decadal Predictions and Climate Projections in Time: Challenges and Potential Solutions, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2022GL098568
- Nicholas Leach, Christopher Roberts, Daniel Heathcote, Dann Mitchell, Vikki Thompson, Tim Palmer, Antje Weisheimer, Myles Allen (August 2022) Reliable heatwave attribution based on successful operational weather forecasts. DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1868647/v1
- Matthew Patterson, Antje Weisheimer, Daniel J Befort, Christopher H O’Reilly (October 2022) The strong role of external forcing in seasonal forecasts of European summer temperature, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9243
- Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Elfatih A. B. Eltahir, Erich M. Fischer, Reto Knutti, Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Christoph Schär, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Antje Weisheimer, Heini Wernli (December 2022) Prediction and projection of heatwaves, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. DOI: 10.1038/s43017-022-00371-z
- Giorgia Di Capua, Dim Coumou, Bart van der Hurk, Antje Weissheimer, Andrew G. Turner, Reik V. Donner (August 2022) Supplementary material to "Validation of boreal summer tropical-extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts". DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2022-48-supplement
- Swinda K.J. Falkena, Jana de Wiljes, Antje Weisheimer, Theodore G. Shepherd (January 2022) Detection of interannual ensemble forecast signals over the North Atlantic and Europe using atmospheric circulation regimes, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4213
2021
- Martin Wegmann, Yvan Orsolini, Antje Weisheimer, Bart van den Hurk, Gerrit Lohmann (August 2021) Supplementary material to "Impact of Eurasian autumn snow on the winter North Atlantic Oscillation in seasonal forecasts of the 20<sup>th</sup> century". DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2021-52-supplement
- Nicholas J. Leach, Antje Weisheimer, Myles R. Allen, Tim Palmer (December 2021) Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences n. 49. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2112087118
- Martin Wegmann, Yvan Orsolini, Antje Weisheimer, Bart van den Hurk, Gerrit Lohmann (December 2021) Impact of Eurasian autumn snow on the winter North Atlantic Oscillation in seasonal forecasts of the 20th century, Weather and Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2-1245-2021
- Christopher H. O’Reilly, Daniel J. Befort, Antje Weisheimer, Tim Woollings, Andrew Ballinger, Gabriele Hegerl (September 2021) Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty, Communications Earth & Environment. DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7
- Paolo Davini, Antje Weisheimer, Magdalena Balmaseda, Stephanie J. Johnson, Franco Molteni, Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Timothy N. Stockdale (January 2021) The representation of winter Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking in ECMWF seasonal prediction systems, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3974
- Daniel J. Befort, Christopher H. O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer (March 2021) Representing Model Uncertainty in Multiannual Predictions, Geophysical Research Letters n. 5. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL090059
- Swinda Falkena, Jana de Wiljes, Antje Weisheimer, Ted Shepherd (March 2021) Non-Stationarity of Wintertime Atmospheric Circulation Regimes in the Euro-Atlantic Sector. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-2087
- Matthew Patterson, Tim Woollings, Chris O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer (March 2021) Decadal variability of the East Asian summer jet and its relationship to sea surface temperatures. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-2140
- Martin Wegmann, Yvan Orsolini, Antje Weisheimer, Bart van den Hurk, Gerrit Lohmann (March 2021) Forecast skill of autumn snow for European winter climate during the 20th century: A multi member seasonal prediction experiment. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-2586
- Antje Weisheimer, Damien Decremer, David MacLeod, Chris O'Reilly, Tim Stockdale, Stephanie Johnson, Tim Palmer (March 2021) How confident are predictability estimates of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation?. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-2928
- Nicholas Leach, Antje Weisheimer, Myles Allen, Timothy Palmer (March 2021) Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-5731
- Antje Weisheimer, Daniel J. Befort, Lukas Brunner, Leonard F. Borchert, Andrew P. Ballinger, Christopher H. O'Reilly, Gabi Hegerl, Juliette Mignot (March 2021) Can a model weighting scheme be used to obtain skillful, reliable and seamless climate information for the next 1-40 years?. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-12737
- Sarah Sparrow, Andrew Bowery, Glenn D. Carver, Marcus O. Köhler, Pirkka Ollinaho, Florian Pappenberger, David Wallom, Antje Weisheimer (June 2021) OpenIFS@home version 1: a citizen science project for ensemble weather and climate forecasting, Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3473-2021
- Jonathan D. Beverley, Steven J. Woolnough, Laura H. Baker, Stephanie J. Johnson, Antje Weisheimer, Christopher H. O’Reilly (November 2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05825-6
- Martin Wegmann, Yvan Orsolini, Antje Weisheimer, Bart van den Hurk, Gerrit Lohmann (August 2021) Impact of Eurasian autumn snow on the winter North Atlantic Oscillation in seasonal forecasts of the 20<sup>th</sup> century. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2021-52
2020
- Antje Weisheimer, Magdalena Balmaseda, Tim Stockdale (March 2020) Multi-decadal variability in long-range ENSO predictions (SEAS5-20C). DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-7763
- Sarah Sparrow, Andrew Bowery, Glenn D. Carver, Marcus O. Köhler, Pirkka Ollinaho, Florian Pappenberger, David Wallom, Antje Weisheimer (September 2020) OpenIFS@home version 1: a citizen science project for ensemble weather and climate forecasting. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2020-217
- Joshua Dorrington, Isla Finney, Tim Palmer, Antje Weisheimer (October 2020) Beyond skill scores: exploring sub‐seasonal forecast value through a case‐study of French month‐ahead energy prediction, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 733, pp. 3623-3637. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3863
- Christopher H. O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer, David MacLeod, Daniel J. Befort, Tim Palmer (October 2020) Assessing the robustness of multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere wintertime seasonal forecast skill, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 733, pp. 4055-4066. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3890
- Kevin Hodges, Daniel Befort, Antje Weisheimer (March 2020) Tropical Cyclones in European Seasonal Forecast Models. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-2552
- Daniel J. Befort, Christopher H. O’Reilly, Antje Weisheimer (March 2020) Constraining Climate Projections using Decadal Predictions. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-2618
- Joshua Dorrington, Isla Finney, Antje Weisheimer, Tim Palmer (March 2020) Quantifying the usefulness of European subseasonal forecasts using a real-world energy-sector framework. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-5358
- Christopher O'Reilly, Daniel Befort, Antje Weisheimer (March 2020) Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-5852
- Christopher H. O'Reilly, Daniel J. Befort, Antje Weisheimer (March 2020) Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data. DOI: 10.5194/esd-2020-6
- Antje Weisheimer (April 2020) Comment on transparency of data used in this study. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-2020-69-SC2
- Daniel J. Befort, Christopher H. O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer (September 2020) Constraining Projections Using Decadal Predictions, Geophysical Research Letters n. 18. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL087900
- Christopher H. O'Reilly, Daniel J. Befort, Antje Weisheimer (November 2020) Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data, Earth System Dynamics. DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1033-2020
- Chris Roberts, Antje Weisheimer, Stephanie Johnson, Timothy Stockdale, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Philip Browne, Andrew Dawson, Martin Leutbecher, Frederic Vitart (January 2020) Reduced-resolution ocean configurations for efficient testing with the ECMWF coupled model, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 858. DOI: 10.21957/6fz18mn9r
- Christopher H. O'Reilly, Daniel J. Befort, Antje Weisheimer (March 2020) Supplementary material to "Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data". DOI: 10.5194/esd-2020-6-supplement
2019
- Antje Weisheimer, Damien Decremer, David MacLeod, Christopher O'Reilly, Tim N. Stockdale, Stephanie Johnson, Tim N. Palmer (September 2019) How confident are predictability estimates of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation?, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. S1, pp. 140-159. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3446
- Tess Parker, Tim Woollings, Antje Weisheimer, Chris O'Reilly, Laura Baker, Len Shaffrey (August 2019) Seasonal Predictability of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation From a Jet Stream Perspective, Geophysical Research Letters n. 16, pp. 10159-10167. DOI: 10.1029/2019GL084402
- F. Hansen, T. Kruschke, R. J. Greatbatch, A. Weisheimer (January 2019) Factors Influencing the Seasonal Predictability of Northern Hemisphere Severe Winter Storms, Geophysical Research Letters n. 1, pp. 365-373. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL079415
- Christopher H. O'Reilly, Tim Woollings, Laure Zanna, Antje Weisheimer (November 2019) An Interdecadal Shift of the Extratropical Teleconnection From the Tropical Pacific During Boreal Summer, Geophysical Research Letters n. 22, pp. 13379-13388. DOI: 10.1029/2019GL084079
2018
- Befort D.J., Wild S., Knight J.R., Lockwood J.F., Thornton H.E., Hermanson L., Bett P.E., Weisheimer A., Leckebusch G.C. (April 2018) Seasonal forecast skill for extratropical cyclones and windstorms, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3406
- O'Reilly C.H., Weisheimer A., Woollings T., Gray L.J., MacLeod D. (April 2018) The importance of stratospheric initial conditions for winter North Atlantic Oscillation predictability and implications for the signal-to-noise paradox, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3413
- Baker L.H., Shaffrey L.C., Sutton R.T., Weisheimer A., Scaife A.A. (April 2018) An Intercomparison of Skill and Overconfidence/Underconfidence of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL078838
- Palmer T.N., Weisheimer A. (April 2018) A simple pedagogical model linking initial-value reliability with trustworthiness in the forced climate response, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0240.1
- Juricke S., MacLeod D., Weisheimer A., Zanna L., Palmer T.N. (April 2018) Seasonal to annual ocean forecasting skill and the role of model and observational uncertainty, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3394
- Parker T., Woollings T., Weisheimer A. (April 2018) Ensemble sensitivity analysis of Greenland blocking in medium-range forecasts, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3391
- O'Reilly C.H., Woollings T., Zanna L., Weisheimer A. (April 2018) The impact of tropical precipitation on summertime euro-Atlantic circulation via a circumglobal wave train, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0451.1
- Beverley J.D., Woolnough S.J., Baker L.H., Johnson S.J., Weisheimer A. (April 2018) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4371-4
- Manzanas R., Lucero A., Weisheimer A., Gutiérrez J.M. (April 2018) Can bias correction and statistical downscaling methods improve the skill of seasonal precipitation forecasts?, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3668-z
- MacLeod D., O'Reilly C., Palmer T., Weisheimer A. (April 2018) Flow dependent ensemble spread in seasonal forecasts of the boreal winter extratropics, Atmospheric Science Letters. DOI: 10.1002/asl.815
- Ineson S., Balmaseda M.A., Davey M.K., Decremer D., Dunstone N.J., Gordon M., Ren H.-L., Scaife A.A., Weisheimer A. (April 2018) Predicting El Niño in 2014 and 2015, Scientific Reports. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-29130-1
- Alessandri A., Felice M.D., Catalano F., Lee J.-Y., Wang B., Lee D.Y., Yoo J.-H., Weisheimer A. (April 2018) Grand European and Asian-Pacific multi-model seasonal forecasts: maximization of skill and of potential economical value to end-users, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3766-y
- Timothy Stockdale, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Stephanie Johnson, Laura Ferranti, Franco Molteni, Linus Magnusson, Steffen Tietsche, Frederic Vitart, Damien Decremer, Antje Weisheimer, Chris Roberts, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Sarah Keeley, Kristian S. Mogensen, Hao Zuo, Michael Mayer, B.M. Monge-Sanz (November 2018) SEAS5 and the future evolution of the long-range forecast system, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 835. DOI: 10.21957/z3e92di7y
2017
- Subramanian A., Weisheimer A., Palmer T., Vitart F., Bechtold P. (April 2017) Impact of stochastic physics on tropical precipitation in the coupled ECMWF model, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2970
- Weisheimer A., Schaller N., O'Reilly C., MacLeod D.A., Palmer T. (April 2017) Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi-decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2976
- Watson P.A.G., Berner J., Corti S., Davini P., von Hardenberg J., Sanchez C., Weisheimer A., Palmer T.N. (April 2017) The impact of stochastic physics on tropical rainfall variability in global climate models on daily to weekly time scales, Journal of Geophysical Research. DOI: 10.1002/2016JD026386
- Leutbecher M., Lock S.-J., Ollinaho P., Lang S.T.K., Balsamo G., Bechtold P., Bonavita M., Christensen H.M., Diamantakis M., Dutra E., English S., Fisher M., Forbes R.M., Goddard J., Haiden T., Hogan R.J., Juricke S., Lawrence H., MacLeod D., Magnusson L., Malardel S., Massart S., Sandu I., Smolarkiewicz P.K., Subramanian A., Vitart F., Wedi N., Weisheimer A. (April 2017) Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3094
- Berner J., Achatz U., Batté L., Bengtsson L., De La Cámara A., Christensen H.M., Colangeli M., Coleman D.R.B., Crommelin D., Dolaptchiev S.I., Franzke C.L.E., Friederichs P., Imkeller P., Järvinen H., Juricke S., Kitsios V., Lott F., Lucarini V., Mahajaajaajan S., Palmer T.N., Penland C., Sakradzijaja M., Von Storch J.-S., Weisheimer A., Weniger M., Williams P.D., Yano J.-I. (April 2017) Stochastic parameterization toward a new view of weather and climate models, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00268.1
- O'Reilly C.H., Heatley J., MacLeod D., Weisheimer A., Palmer T.N., Schaller N., Woollings T. (April 2017) Variability in seasonal forecast skill of Northern Hemisphere winters over the twentieth century, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/2017GL073736
- Davini P., Von Hardenberg J., Corti S., Christensen H.M., Juricke S., Subramanian A., Watson P.A.G., Weisheimer A., Palmer T.N. (April 2017) Climate SPHINX: Evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in the EC-Earth global climate model, Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-1383-2017
- Hansen F., Greatbatch R.J., Gollan G., Jung T., Weisheimer A. (April 2017) Remote control of North Atlantic Oscillation predictability via the stratosphere, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2958
2016
- Matsueda M., Weisheimer A., Palmer T.N. (April 2016) Calibrating climate change time-slice projections with estimates of seasonal forecast reliability, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0087.1
- Schaller N., Kay A.L., Lamb R., Massey N.R., Van Oldenborgh G.J., Otto F.E.L., Sparrow S.N., Vautard R., Yiou P., Ashpole I., Bowery A., Crooks S.M., Haustein K., Huntingford C., Ingram W.J., Jones R.G., Legg T., Miller J., Skeggs J., Wallom D., Weisheimer A., Wilson S., Stott P.A., Allen M.R. (April 2016) Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts, Nature Climate Change. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2927
- Watson P.A.G., Weisheimer A., Knight J.R., Palmer T.N. (April 2016) The role of the tropical West Pacific in the extreme Northern Hemisphere winter of 2013/2014, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. DOI: 10.1002/2015JD024048
- Macleod D.A., Cloke H.L., Pappenberger F., Weisheimer A. (April 2016) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2631
- Orsolini Y.J., Senan R., Vitart F., Balsamo G., Weisheimer A., Doblas-Reyes F.J. (April 2016) Influence of the Eurasian snow on the negative North Atlantic Oscillation in subseasonal forecasts of the cold winter 2009/2010, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2903-8
- MacLeod D., Cloke H., Pappenberger F., Weisheimer A. (April 2016) Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-20-2737-2016
- Andrejczuk M., Cooper F.C., Juricke S., Palmer T.N., Weisheimer A., Zanna L. (April 2016) Oceanic stochastic parameterizations in a seasonal forecast system, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0245.1
- Dell'Aquila A., Corti S., Weisheimer A., Hersbach H., Peubey C., Poli P., Berrisford P., Dee D., Simmons A. (April 2016) Benchmarking Northern Hemisphere midlatitude atmospheric synoptic variability in centennial reanalysis and numerical simulations, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL068829
- Senan R., Orsolini Y.J., Weisheimer A., Vitart F., Balsamo G., Stockdale T.N., Dutra E., Doblas-Reyes F.J., Basang D. (April 2016) Impact of springtime Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau snowpack on the onset of the Indian summer monsoon in coupled seasonal forecasts, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-2993-y
- Paolo Davini, Jost von Hardenberg, Susanna Corti, Hannah M. Christensen, Stephan Juricke, Aneesh Subramanian, Peter A. G. Watson, Antje Weisheimer, Tim N. Palmer (June 2016) Climate SPHINX: evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in climate simulations. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2016-115
- Dave MacLeod, Hannah Cloke, Florian Pappenberger, Antje Weisheimer (February 2016) Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2016-28
- Dave MacLeod, Hannah Cloke, Florian Pappenberger, Antje Weisheimer (February 2016) Supplementary material to "Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach". DOI: 10.5194/hess-2016-28-supplement
2015
- Corti S., Palmer T., Balmaseda M., Weisheimer A., Drijfhout S., Dunstone N., Hazeleger W., Kröger J., Pohlmann H., Smith D., Von Storch J.-S., Wouters B. (April 2015) Impact of initial conditions versus external forcing in decadal climate predictions: A sensitivity experiment, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00671.1
- Shi W., Schaller N., Macleod D., Palmer T.N., Weisheimer A. (April 2015) Impact of hindcast length on estimates of seasonal climate predictability, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062829
- Shi W., N. Schaller, D. MacLeod, T.N. Palmer, Antje Weisheimer (March 2015) Impact of hindcast length on estimates of seasonal climate predictability, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 751. DOI: 10.21957/ghdfifv7
- MacLeod D.A., Hannah L. Cloke, Florian Pappenberger, Antje Weisheimer (August 2015) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 761. DOI: 10.21957/mxwgvn79n
2014
- Weisheimer A., Corti S., Palmer T., Vitart F. (April 2014) Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: Impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2013.0290
- Weisheimer A., Palmer T.N. (April 2014) On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts, Journal of the Royal Society Interface. DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2013.1162
- Gianpaolo Balsamo, Anna Agusti-Panareda, C. Albergel, Anton Beljaars, Souhail Boussetta, Emanuel Dutra, T. Komori, S.T.K. Lang, Joaquin Muñoz-Sabater, Florian Pappenberger, Patricia de Rosnay, irina sandu, Nils Wedi, Antje Weisheimer, Fredrik Wetterhall, Ervin Zsoter (October 2014) Representing the Earth surfaces in the Integrated Forecasting System: Recent advances and future challenges, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 729. DOI: 10.21957/tp28b09ds
- Antje Weisheimer, S Corti, T.N. Palmer, Frederic Vitart (February 2014) Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parameterisations: Impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 720, pp. 26. DOI: 10.21957/4nkt0c86t
- Frederic Vitart, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Roberto Buizza, Laura Ferranti, Sarah Keeley, Linus Magnusson, Franco Molteni, Antje Weisheimer (October 2014) Sub-seasonal predictions, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 738. DOI: 10.21957/6lw4xoik8
- Antje Weisheimer, T.N. Palmer (April 2014) On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 722, pp. 17. DOI: 10.21957/ku6twzpsk
2013
- Orsolini Y.J., Senan R., Balsamo G., Doblas-Reyes F.J., Vitart F., Weisheimer A., Carrasco A., Benestad R.E. (April 2013) Impact of snow initialization on sub-seasonal forecasts, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1782-0

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7231-6974

Contact Details:

antje.weisheimer

ecmwf.int

Tel. +44 118 949 9374